Kp Index (0–9): 0–4 quiet; 5 = minor storm; 6–7 = strong; 8–9 = severe/extreme (geomagnetic disruption, auroras).
Solar Wind: Typical 300–500 km/s; >600 km/s can disturb Earth’s field if conditions align.
X-Ray Flux / Flares: Classes A, B, C (small), M (moderate blackouts), X (major, global radio outages, satellite risk).
Proton Flux (S-scale S1–S5): S1 minor; S4–S5 severe/extreme radiation hazards.
Status: Elevated awareness advised
Outlook: Warm and humid conditions continue across South Florida with variable cloudiness, scattered showers, and elevated discomfort levels during the afternoon period.
Source: University of Miami WeatherSTEM + AccuWeather synthesis
Sunrise / Sunset: 6:33 AM → 8:01 PM
Moon: Waxing Crescent — 12.0% illuminated — Rises 9:06 AM — Sets 11:35 PM
Comet Watch: C/2025 R3 (PANSTARRS) visible with binoculars after sunset.
Source: TheSkyLive — Miami Sky Guide
Meteor Showers: No major showers peaking tonight.
Reporting rule: M5.0+ worldwide; M4.5+ Caribbean basin.
We anticipate that the 2026 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have somewhat below-normal activity. Current weak La Niña conditions are likely to transition to El Niño in the next few months, with the potential for a moderate/strong El Niño for the peak of hurricane season. Sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Atlantic are warmer than normal but slightly cooler than normal in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. We anticipate El Niño being the dominant factor for the upcoming hurricane season, driving increased levels of tropical Atlantic vertical wind shear. We are forecasting a below-average probability for major hurricane landfalls along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity.
13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes (Cat 3+); compared with the 1991–2020 average of: 14.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, 3.2 major hurricanes
Atlantic Basin: No tropical cyclones expected during the next 7 days.
Eastern Pacific: No tropical cyclones at this time.
Central Pacific: No tropical cyclones at this time.
Western Pacific / Indian Ocean: JTWC reports no active tropical cyclone warnings or suspect areas at this time.
JTWC Advisory Areas: ABPW10 (Western/South Pacific Ocean) and ABIO10 (Indian Ocean) monitored.
Issue Time: 19/1800Z
The daily Hermit Wolf reports track what is happening now — storms, dust, quakes, solar activity. This page looks at the broader seasonal patterns behind those events: when typhoons tend to peak in different parts of the Pacific, how Atlantic hurricanes follow their own rhythm, when Saharan dust usually reaches Miami, and why earthquakes do not truly have a global “season.” I added it for readers who want context — not just the headline, but the structure behind it.